Learning Route · 7 Days from Zero to实战
7 Days to Prediction Market Trading
30 minutes per day, from basic concepts to实战 strategies. No finance background required, just curiosity and execution.
Design Philosophy: Not "read all materials", but "complete one small task daily". After 7 days, you should be able to execute a trade independently.
Day 1 · 30 min
Prediction Market Basics
Understand what prediction markets are, how to profit, and differences from traditional investing.
- Prediction markets vs gambling vs traditional investing
- Binary markets, probability pricing, Yes/No contracts
- Resolution mechanisms and settlement logic
- Risk warning: This is NOT "easy money"
Read 15 min + Think 15 min
Day 2 · 40 min
Polymarket Platform Operations
Familiarize with Polymarket interface, market browsing, order flow.
- Registration and account setup
- Browse markets: Politics, Sports, Crypto, Weather
- Understand market details: Liquidity, Volume, Expiry
- Simulated order (no actual execution)
Read 20 min + Hands-on 20 min
Day 3 · 40 min
Wallet Setup & Security
Set up crypto wallet, fund USDC, security practices.
- Choose wallet: MetaMask / Rabby / Others
- Polygon network configuration
- Buy and deposit USDC
- Security checklist: Private keys, phishing, approval management
Setup 30 min + Security check 10 min
Day 4 · 30 min
Risk Management Principles
Learn position sizing, stop-loss, avoid common mistakes.
- Position sizing: 2-5% of capital per trade
- Circuit breaker: Daily max loss limit
- Liquidity risk: Avoid small markets
- Resolution risk: Understand "unpredictable" scenarios
Read 20 min + Create personal rules 10 min
Day 5 · 40 min
Basic Strategy: Signal Sniper
Learn first executable strategy: event-driven quick response.
- Strategy logic: Pricing delay after news release
- Information source prep: Twitter, News RSS, Discord
- Execution flow: Discover → Verify → Order
- Case study: Real trade retrospective
Learn 25 min + Simulated drill 15 min
Day 6 · 40 min
Advanced Strategy Selection
Choose deep dive based on interest: Fast-Loop / Mert Sniper / Weather Trader.
- Fast-Loop: High-frequency cycles, BTC sprint markets
- Mert Sniper: Near-expiry, high-certainty trades
- Weather Trader: Alternative data, weather arbitrage
- Selection advice: Based on your time and risk preference
Strategy learn 30 min + Decision 10 min
Day 7 · 60 min
Live Trading & KOL Research
First real trade (small amount) + learn from successful traders.
- Execute first real trade (建议 ≤$10)
- Document trade logic and expectations
- Research 1-2 KOL trading frameworks
- Create next week learning plan
Live trading 30 min + Retrospective 30 min